How to Read This Report
The structure
Section titled “The structure”This report is built like software documentation because the subject is a system — a set of interacting cash flows. The left sidebar is your table of contents:
- Start Here — the punchlines and the orientation you’re reading now.
- The Core Concept — the single financial idea (negative leverage) that governs the whole question.
- The Three Markets — Duck, Corolla, Nags Head: how they differ and why it’s a money decision.
- Transaction Models (Live) — real listings run through a full pro-forma. The heart of the report.
- The Cost Stack — where ~half the rent goes before the mortgage.
- Financing & Tax — how the loan and the tax code change the answer.
- Risk & Strategy — what can go wrong, and the actual playbook.
Confidence tags
Section titled “Confidence tags”Every meaningful number carries one:
- HIGH — corroborated across ≥2 independent sources.
- MED — sourced but from aggregators/agent data, or a single source.
- LOW — directional; treat with caution.
- CONFLICT — sources disagree; both readings shown.
On the deal models, VERIFIED means the price/spec was seen live; RANGE means market-typical.
The one model to hold onto
Section titled “The one model to hold onto”If you remember a single thing: compare the property’s unlevered yield to your mortgage constant. Everything else is detail hanging off that comparison. The next page makes it concrete.